Rest of Season Projection
NickCategoryPaul
87K →126
4.27ERA →2.28
1.31WHIP →1.04
4–9W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
NickCategoryPaul
22K →75
5.20ERA →2.89
1.37WHIP →0.86
2W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nick Lodolo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.61 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Nick Lodolo: 87 K / 4.27 ERA. Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).