Rest of Season Projection
NolanCategoryRoyce
12HR ←8
27R ←26
39RBI ←30
0SB →7
.198AVG ←.190
Current Season
NolanCategoryRoyce
6HR ←3
17R ←11
25RBI ←13
0SB →3
.207AVG ←.159
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nolan Gorman
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.282 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Royce Lewis
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.215 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Nolan Gorman: 12 HR / 27 R. Royce Lewis: 8 HR / 26 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).