Rest of Season Projection
PaulCategoryRobbie
126K ←112
2.28ERA ←4.80
1.04WHIP ←1.41
6–14W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
PaulCategoryRobbie
75K ←59
2.89ERA ←4.45
0.86WHIP ←1.40
6W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Robbie Ray
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.18 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Robbie Ray: 112 K / 4.80 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).