Rest of Season Projection
PeterCategorySpencer
81K →97
4.04ERA ←4.65
1.33WHIP ←1.43
6–12W →10–21
0SV0
Current Season
PeterCategorySpencer
43K43
3.77ERA →1.34
1.21WHIP →1.13
4W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Peter Lambert
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.85)
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.229 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.95 is 3.01 above the ERA — regression coming
Peter Lambert: 81 K / 4.04 ERA. Spencer Arrighetti: 97 K / 4.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).