Rest of Season Projection
PJCategoryWill
29K →37
3.82ERA →3.67
1.27WHIP →1.24
3–6W ←1–2
2–3SV ←1–3
Current Season
PJCategoryWill
18K →25
3.20ERA →1.88
1.46WHIP →1.04
3W ←1
2SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
PJ Poulin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.235 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.09 is 2.81 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Will Klein
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.87)
PJ Poulin: 29 K / 3.82 ERA. Will Klein: 37 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).