Rest of Season Projection
DennisCategoryPJ
30K ←29
3.75ERA ←3.82
1.26WHIP ←1.27
2–4W →3–6
2–4SV2–3
Current Season
DennisCategoryPJ
19K ←18
4.81ERA →3.20
1.48WHIP →1.46
2W →3
2SV2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dennis Santana
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.08)
PJ Poulin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.235 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.09 is 2.81 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Dennis Santana: 30 K / 3.75 ERA. PJ Poulin: 29 K / 3.82 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).