Rest of Season Projection
RandalCategoryTroy
10HR ←8
42R ←38
48RBI ←41
0SB →5
.289AVG →.295
Current Season
RandalCategoryTroy
4HR ←2
13R →23
15RBI →25
0SB →3
.250AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
Randal Grichuk
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.376)
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.399 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.329 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Randal Grichuk: 10 HR / 42 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).