MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 4, 2026
Portrait of Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady
WSH · P
Change to
Ryan Walker
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ryan Walker.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves. Richard Lovelady’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Ryan Walker wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Richard Lovelady wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Richard Lovelady
91.4
Ryan Walker
94.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Richard Lovelady
10.2%
Ryan Walker
6.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Richard Lovelady
18.5%
Ryan Walker
17.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Richard Lovelady
29.1%
Ryan Walker
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Richard Lovelady
32.6%
Ryan Walker
32.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Richard Lovelady
6.3%
Ryan Walker
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Richard Lovelady
.361
Ryan Walker
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Richard Lovelady
2.157.69
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
3.77
Ryan Walker
2.157.69
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.46
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Richard Lovelady
.9802.15
now 1.75
1.26
Ryan Walker
.9802.15
now 1.89
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Richard Lovelady
4036.40
now 21
25
Ryan Walker
4036.40
now 14
30
Winshigher is better
Richard Lovelady
.0004.20
now 2
13
Ryan Walker
.0004.20
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Richard Lovelady
1.607.40
now 4
36
Ryan Walker
1.607.40
now 3
36
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeRichard Lovelady — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowRyan Walker — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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