Rest of Season Projection
RichieCategoryWilli
4HR →7
39R →42
37RBI ←33
15SB ←7
.219AVG.220
Current Season
RichieCategoryWilli
1HR →2
18R →24
17RBI →19
7SB ←4
.248AVG →.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
Richie Palacios
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.301)
Willi Castro
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.284 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Richie Palacios: 4 HR / 39 R. Willi Castro: 7 HR / 42 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).