MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TB · 2B
Change to
Portrait of Willi Castro
Willi Castro
COL · 2B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Richie Palacios.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI, steals, and average. Willi Castro’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Richie Palacios wins 3 categories (RBI, SB, AVG); Willi Castro wins 2 (HR, R).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Richie Palacios
85.8
Willi Castro
87.9
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Richie Palacios
25.9%
Willi Castro
39.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Richie Palacios
4.0%
Willi Castro
7.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Richie Palacios
31.3%
Willi Castro
37.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Richie Palacios
10.0%
Willi Castro
16.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Richie Palacios
.307
Willi Castro
.293
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Richie Palacios
.210.280
lg AVG .295
now .248
.229
Willi Castro
.210.280
lg AVG .295
now .262
.227

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Richie Palacios
54.20
now 1
1
Willi Castro
54.20
now 2
3
Runshigher is better
Richie Palacios
2027.20
now 18
19
Willi Castro
2027.20
now 24
20
RBIhigher is better
Richie Palacios
2022.20
now 17
18
Willi Castro
2022.20
now 19
16
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Richie Palacios
1.408.60
now 7
7
Willi Castro
1.408.60
now 4
3
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellRichie Palacios — hold.conf 0.60
SellWilli Castro — sell.conf 0.59
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