Rest of Season Projection
RoyceCategoryRyan
10HR ←9
23R →26
27RBI →31
6SB ←5
.212AVG.212
Current Season
RoyceCategoryRyan
3HR →6
11R →16
13RBI →19
3SB3
.159AVG →.207
What Each Player's System Trusts
Royce Lewis
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.303)
Ryan McMahon
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.294 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Royce Lewis: 10 HR / 23 R. Ryan McMahon: 9 HR / 26 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).