Rest of Season Projection
SamCategoryTanner
35K →58
3.70ERA ←3.85
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
SamCategoryTanner
26K →35
2.49ERA ←6.37
1.07WHIP ←1.56
1W ←0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Sam Moll
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.79 is 0.90 above the ERA — regression coming
Tanner Gordon
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.76)
Sam Moll: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Tanner Gordon: 58 K / 3.85 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).