Rest of Season Projection
SeanCategorySpencer
97K97
3.64ERA ←4.65
1.27WHIP ←1.43
2–4W →10–21
0SV0
Current Season
SeanCategorySpencer
60K ←43
3.72ERA →1.34
1.13WHIP1.13
2W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Sean Burke
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.64, 0.46 below league — production is earned
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.229 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.95 is 3.01 above the ERA — regression coming
Sean Burke: 97 K / 3.64 ERA. Spencer Arrighetti: 97 K / 4.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).