Rest of Season Projection
TravisCategoryWilli
5HR →6
28R →38
24RBI →30
17SB ←6
.233AVG ←.230
Current Season
TravisCategoryWilli
3HR ←2
13R →24
11RBI →19
8SB ←4
.294AVG ←.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
Travis Bazzana
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.312)
Willi Castro
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.362 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.289 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Travis Bazzana: 5 HR / 28 R. Willi Castro: 6 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).