Rest of Season Projection
WillCategoryZack
99K ←80
3.43ERA →3.24
1.24WHIP →1.13
7–14W ←5–11
0SV0
Current Season
WillCategoryZack
70K ←40
3.22ERA →2.27
1.20WHIP →0.85
7W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Will Warren
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.43, 0.67 below league — production is earned
Zack Wheeler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.209 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.24 is 1.02 above the ERA — regression coming
Will Warren: 99 K / 3.43 ERA. Zack Wheeler: 80 K / 3.24 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).