MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Aaron Civale
CHC · P
Change to
Tarik Skubal
LAD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tarik Skubal.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Tarik Skubal wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Aaron Civale wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.4
Tarik Skubal
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.5%
Tarik Skubal
17.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
17.6%
Tarik Skubal
31.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
30.5%
Tarik Skubal
36.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
45.8%
Tarik Skubal
36.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
10.0%
Tarik Skubal
7.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.342
Tarik Skubal
.269
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
25.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.68
Tarik Skubal
25.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
2.98
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
.9001.68
now 1.47
1.39
Tarik Skubal
.9001.68
now 0.95
1.00

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4050.60
now 39
31
Tarik Skubal
4050.60
now 45
42
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.8006.20
now 5
25
Tarik Skubal
.8006.20
now 3
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.82
BuyTarik Skubal — buy.conf 0.92
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