Rest of Season Projection
AaronCategoryJacob
114K →163
4.22ERA →2.19
1.29WHIP →0.98
3–7W →6–13
0SV0
Current Season
AaronCategoryJacob
64K →108
5.55ERA →1.65
1.39WHIP →0.79
3W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aaron Nola
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.29)
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Aaron Nola: 114 K / 4.22 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).