MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Logan Henderson
MIL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Logan Henderson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Logan Henderson wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Aaron Nola wins 0 (none); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.3
Logan Henderson
93.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.7%
Logan Henderson
14.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
24.4%
Logan Henderson
30.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.9%
Logan Henderson
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.4%
Logan Henderson
37.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.2%
Logan Henderson
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.307
Logan Henderson
.251
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
26.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
3.95
Logan Henderson
26.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.74
2.60
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
.9001.55
now 1.39
1.31
Logan Henderson
.9001.55
now 1.04
0.99

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4084.80
now 64
12
Logan Henderson
4084.80
now 30
14
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.0004.20
now 3
01
Logan Henderson
.0004.20
now 2
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
BuyLogan Henderson — buy.conf 0.92
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