MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of AJ Blubaugh
AJ Blubaugh
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 5 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W, SV); AJ Blubaugh wins 0 (none).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
95.6
Cade Smith
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
13.2%
Cade Smith
17.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
23.6%
Cade Smith
34.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
28.1%
Cade Smith
33.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
34.4%
Cade Smith
45.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
8.0%
Cade Smith
10.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
.312
Cade Smith
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
AJ Blubaugh
25.15
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.42
3.92
Cade Smith
25.15
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
WHIPlower is better
AJ Blubaugh
.9601.49
now 1.31
1.37
Cade Smith
.9601.49
now 1.08
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
4050.80
now 28
20
Cade Smith
4050.80
now 42
34
Winshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
.5202.48
now 2
12
Cade Smith
.5202.48
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
.00029.40
now 0
0
Cade Smith
.00029.40
now 20
1121
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAJ Blubaugh — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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