Rest of Season Projection
AlbertCategoryJosé
34K →52
3.71ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
3–7W ←1–3
1–4SV1–3
Current Season
AlbertCategoryJosé
10K →26
2.61ERA ←5.59
1.21WHIP ←1.81
2W ←1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Albert Suárez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.257 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.16 is 0.79 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
José Alvarado
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.426 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Albert Suárez: 34 K / 3.71 ERA. José Alvarado: 52 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).