Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryTyler
34K →41
3.70ERA →3.65
1.24WHIP ←1.42
0–0W0–0
0SV →1–5
Current Season
AndrewCategoryTyler
12K →33
7.59ERA →1.63
1.69WHIP →1.27
0W0
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Kittredge
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.15 sits 0.95 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Tyler Phillips
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.270 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.65 is 1.79 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Kittredge: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Tyler Phillips: 41 K / 3.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).