Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryJake
9HR →16
36R →46
36RBI →58
0SB →2
.314AVG ←.237
Current Season
AndrewCategoryJake
1HR →10
10R →29
10RBI →37
0SB →1
.354AVG ←.242
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Jake Burger
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.307)
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 36 R. Jake Burger: 16 HR / 46 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).