Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryVladimir
9HR →15
36R →54
36RBI →37
0SB →8
.314AVG →.320
Current Season
AndrewCategoryVladimir
1HR →3
10R →35
10RBI →24
0SB →5
.354AVG ←.298
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.361, +0.046 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 36 R. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 15 HR / 54 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).