Rest of Season Projection
AroldisCategoryRaisel
50K ←38
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W0–0
15–28SV ←13–24
Current Season
AroldisCategoryRaisel
25K ←21
0.48ERA ←1.02
0.86WHIP →0.85
0W0
12SV ←10
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aroldis Chapman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.220 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.99 is 2.53 above the ERA — regression coming
Raisel Iglesias
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.12)
Chapman projects for 50 K / 15 SV vs Iglesias's 38 K / 13 SV — the strikeout edge is real. Sell-high Chapman; hold Iglesias.