Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryCade
38K →66
3.70ERA →3.60
1.24WHIP →1.22
1–3W →2–5
0SV →23–43
Current Season
AustinCategoryCade
22K →42
1.33ERA ←2.60
1.13WHIP →1.08
1W →2
0SV →20
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Warren
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.260 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.82 is 2.49 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Austin Warren: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).