Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryJake
38K ←35
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W1–3
0SV0
Current Season
AustinCategoryJake
22K ←20
1.33ERA ←5.00
1.13WHIP ←1.33
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Warren
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.260 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.82 is 2.49 above the ERA — regression coming
Jake Bird
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.347 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Austin Warren: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Jake Bird: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).