Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryDevin
67K ←58
2.80ERA ←3.70
1.19WHIP ←1.24
1–4W →3–7
1–2SV →10–18
Current Season
BenCategoryDevin
53K ←31
1.92ERA ←5.40
0.93WHIP ←1.55
2W →3
1SV →8
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Brown
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.231 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.80 is 1.06 above the ERA — regression coming
Devin Williams
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.04)
Ben Brown: 67 K / 2.80 ERA. Devin Williams: 58 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).