Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryWillson
20HR ←16
71R ←42
71RBI ←53
3SB ←2
.269AVG ←.264
Current Season
BenCategoryWillson
17HR ←11
44R ←26
44RBI ←33
2SB ←1
.306AVG ←.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.409 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.399, +0.084 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Rice outpaces Contreras in HR (20 vs 16) and steals (3 vs 2), but Contreras sees a buy verdict against Rice's sell-high.