Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryMark
33K →34
3.70ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W ←0–0
1–3SV →4–7
Current Season
BlakeCategoryMark
18K →25
3.06ERA ←5.47
1.25WHIP ←1.46
1W ←0
1SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Treinen
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.64)
Mark Leiter Jr.
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.24 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.351 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Blake Treinen: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Mark Leiter Jr.: 34 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).