Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryMark
33K →34
3.69ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–3SV →4–7
Current Season
AndrewCategoryMark
20K →25
4.18ERA ←5.47
1.52WHIP →1.46
1W ←0
1SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Morris
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 sits 0.62 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.383 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Mark Leiter Jr.
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.24 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.351 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Andrew Morris: 33 K / 3.69 ERA. Mark Leiter Jr.: 34 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).