Rest of Season Projection
BradCategoryPierce
42K ←37
3.68ERA ←3.75
1.25WHIP →1.24
2–6W ←2–5
0SV →1–3
Current Season
BradCategoryPierce
31K ←20
2.68ERA ←3.27
1.00WHIP ←1.23
3W ←2
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brad Lord
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.236 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.54 is 1.24 above the ERA — regression coming
Pierce Johnson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.23 is 2.96 above the ERA — regression coming
Lord projects for 42 K to Johnson's 38, with a 3.68 ERA against 3.75 — a narrow edge in both categories, tightening the sell-high window.