Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryOneil
2HR →15
23R →54
31RBI →53
13SB →25
.235AVG →.242
Current Season
BrandonCategoryOneil
0HR →13
9R →42
12RBI →41
5SB →19
.294AVG ←.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Lockridge
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.417 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.277 is 0.048 below the surface — regression coming
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.358, +0.043 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.377 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Brandon Lockridge: 2 HR / 23 R. Oneil Cruz: 15 HR / 55 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).