Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryJesús
10HR →14
47R ←32
39RBI →48
6SB ←2
.304AVG ←.290
Current Season
BrandonCategoryJesús
5HR →6
29R ←19
24RBI →28
4SB ←1
.317AVG ←.287
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.411 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.337 is 0.031 below the surface — regression coming
Jesús Sánchez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.350, +0.035 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Brandon Marsh: 10 HR / 47 R. Jesús Sánchez: 14 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).