Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryPete
10HR →14
49R →51
40RBI40
7SB →19
.302AVG ←.246
Current Season
BrandonCategoryPete
5HR →7
29R →33
24RBI →26
4SB →12
.317AVG ←.237
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.407 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.032 below the surface — regression coming
Pete Crow-Armstrong
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.346, +0.031 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Brandon Marsh: 10 HR / 49 R. Pete Crow-Armstrong: 14 HR / 51 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).