Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryRandy
10HR →13
49R →63
40RBI40
7SB →26
.302AVG ←.263
Current Season
BrandonCategoryRandy
5HR →6
29R →41
24RBI →26
4SB →17
.317AVG ←.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.407 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.032 below the surface — regression coming
Randy Arozarena
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.342, +0.027 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Brandon Marsh: 10 HR / 49 R. Randy Arozarena: 13 HR / 63 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).