Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryWilyer
10HR →16
49R ←40
40RBI ←37
7SB ←6
.302AVG ←.282
Current Season
BrandonCategoryWilyer
5HR →6
29R ←26
24RBI24
4SB4
.317AVG ←.284
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.407 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.032 below the surface — regression coming
Wilyer Abreu
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.349, +0.034 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Marsh projects for .302 AVG and 10 HR; Abreu projects for .282 AVG and 16 HR. The AVG edge belongs to Marsh, power to Abreu. Sell Marsh; buy Abreu.