Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryCarter
8HR8
31R →38
24RBI →43
2SB ←0
.236AVG ←.182
Current Season
BrandonCategoryCarter
4HR →7
13R →23
10RBI →26
1SB ←0
.235AVG ←.223
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Valenzuela
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.336)
Carter Jensen
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.269 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Brandon Valenzuela: 8 HR / 31 R. Carter Jensen: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).