MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 14, 2026
Engraved portrait of Brock Burke
Brock Burke
CIN·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to
Engraved portrait of Graham Ashcraft
Graham Ashcraft
CIN·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

BrockCategoryGraham
39K 31
3.77ERA 3.67
1.27WHIP 1.26
1–2W1–2
1–2SV1–2

Current Season

BrockCategoryGraham
27K 32
3.62ERA 3.33
1.39WHIP 1.22
1W1
1SV1

What Each Player's System Trusts

Brock Burke
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.72 is 1.72 above the ERA — regression coming
Graham Ashcraft
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.30)

Brock Burke: 39 K / 3.77 ERA. Graham Ashcraft: 31 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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