Rest of Season Projection
BrooksCategoryJake
38K ←30
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →1–3
0SV0
Current Season
BrooksCategoryJake
26K ←20
1.61ERA ←5.00
1.25WHIP ←1.33
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brooks Raley
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.61)
Jake Bird
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.04 sits 0.06 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.364 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Brooks Raley: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Jake Bird: 30 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).