Rest of Season Projection
BrooksCategoryJonathan
38K ←28
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →1–3
0SV0
Current Season
BrooksCategoryJonathan
26K ←16
1.61ERA ←4.67
1.25WHIP →1.15
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brooks Raley
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.61)
Jonathan Bowlan
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.53 sits 1.57 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.316 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Brooks Raley: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Jonathan Bowlan: 28 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).