Rest of Season Projection
JonathanCategoryTaylor
28K ←21
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →1–4
0SV0
Current Season
JonathanCategoryTaylor
16K ←12
4.67ERA →1.80
1.15WHIP →0.68
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jonathan Bowlan
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.53 sits 1.57 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.316 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Taylor Clarke
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.195 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.66 is 1.54 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jonathan Bowlan: 28 K / 3.70 ERA. Taylor Clarke: 21 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).