Rest of Season Projection
CraigCategoryJonathan
47K ←28
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →1–3
0SV0
Current Season
CraigCategoryJonathan
17K ←16
5.63ERA →4.67
1.44WHIP →1.15
0W →1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Craig Kimbrel
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.30)
Jonathan Bowlan
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.53 sits 1.57 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.316 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Craig Kimbrel: 47 K / 3.70 ERA. Jonathan Bowlan: 28 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).