Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryZack
90K →92
3.05ERA ←3.90
1.28WHIP →1.27
4–9W →6–13
0SV0
Current Season
BryceCategoryZack
61K ←40
2.50ERA →2.27
1.08WHIP →0.85
4W4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Elder
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.05 is 0.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Zack Wheeler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.19 is 0.92 above the ERA — regression coming
Bryce Elder: 90 K / 3.05 ERA. Zack Wheeler: 92 K / 3.90 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).