MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 13, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Casey Legumina
Casey Legumina
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Burch Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Casey Legumina wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Casey Legumina
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Casey Legumina
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Casey Legumina
16.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Casey Legumina
31.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Casey Legumina
40.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Casey Legumina
8.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Casey Legumina
.347
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.953.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Casey Legumina
2.953.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.70
3.76
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.24
Casey Legumina
1.151.56
now 1.44
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4028.60
now 20
23
Casey Legumina
4028.60
now 16
19
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0002.80
now 0
00
Casey Legumina
.0002.80
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCasey Legumina — hold.conf 0.50
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