MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 8, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Seth Johnson
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Seth Johnson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Burch Smith’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Seth Johnson wins 1 categories (K); Burch Smith wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Seth Johnson
97.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Seth Johnson
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Seth Johnson
27.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Seth Johnson
23.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Seth Johnson
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Seth Johnson
12.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Seth Johnson
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.146.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Seth Johnson
2.146.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.79
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.051.90
now 1.47
1.24
Seth Johnson
1.051.90
now 1.71
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4025.60
now 20
15
Seth Johnson
4025.60
now 6
16
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Seth Johnson
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeSeth Johnson — hold.conf 0.55
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