Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryRyan
58K ←56
4.10ERA ←4.19
1.30WHIP ←1.31
2–5W →4–8
0SV0
Current Season
CadeCategoryRyan
12K →19
5.12ERA →4.85
1.34WHIP →1.31
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Povich
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.22)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ryan Feltner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.240 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.75 is 0.55 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Povich: 58 K / 4.10 ERA. Ryan Feltner: 56 K / 4.19 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).