Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryCal
66K ←36
3.60ERA ←3.71
1.22WHIP ←1.24
2–5W →3–7
23–43SV ←0
Current Season
CadeCategoryCal
42K ←14
2.60ERA →2.53
1.08WHIP ←1.22
2W2
20SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Cal Quantrill
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.266 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.72 is 2.23 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Cal Quantrill: 36 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).