MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 30, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
97.1
Caleb Thielbar
93.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
16.9%
Caleb Thielbar
15.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.5%
Caleb Thielbar
30.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.3%
Caleb Thielbar
38.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
43.9%
Caleb Thielbar
39.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
9.5%
Caleb Thielbar
14.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.280
Caleb Thielbar
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
2.164.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.67
Caleb Thielbar
2.164.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9801.44
now 1.08
1.23
Caleb Thielbar
.9801.44
now 1.34
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4052.80
now 42
28
Caleb Thielbar
4052.80
now 15
16
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0005.20
now 2
12
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.20
now 2
14
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00027.60
now 20
917
Caleb Thielbar
.00027.60
now 2
14
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
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