Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryChad
66K ←59
3.60ERA ←3.71
1.22WHIP ←1.29
2–5W →3–7
23–43SV ←1–5
Current Season
CadeCategoryChad
42K ←34
2.60ERA →2.54
1.08WHIP ←1.20
2W →3
20SV ←2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Chad Patrick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.74 is 1.20 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Chad Patrick: 59 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).