MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Cole Winn
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Cole Winn wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
97.0
Cole Winn
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.1%
Cole Winn
15.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.7%
Cole Winn
23.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.7%
Cole Winn
36.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
44.6%
Cole Winn
44.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
9.6%
Cole Winn
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.279
Cole Winn
.340
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
26.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.67
Cole Winn
26.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9301.60
now 1.08
1.23
Cole Winn
.9301.60
now 1.45
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4051.20
now 42
29
Cole Winn
4051.20
now 23
19
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.2003.80
now 2
12
Cole Winn
.2003.80
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00028
now 20
917
Cole Winn
.00028
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCole Winn — hold.conf 0.50
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