Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryColin
66K ←37
3.60ERA ←3.69
1.22WHIP ←1.24
2–5W →3–9
23–43SV ←0
Current Season
CadeCategoryColin
42K ←23
2.60ERA →2.14
1.08WHIP →0.81
2W →3
20SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Colin Holderman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.212 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.76 is 0.72 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Colin Holderman: 37 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).